Friday, November 25, 2016

Building on the American Non-Trumplican Majority for Political Victory in the Future

An update for all of us who are trying to figure out what the Nov. 8 voting portends for future elections.

First, as of close of business November 22, it appears, contrary to earlier reports, that 2016 turnout (134,041,442) actually exceeded the 2012 turnout (129,085,410). That gap will be larger when the remaining votes are tabulated.

Second, Clinton, as of November 22, has received 64,500,489 votes (48.1%) to Trump's 62,371,681 (46.5%) -- a plurality of more than two million votes. In 2012, Obama received 65,915,795 (51.1%) to Romney's 60,933,504 (47.2%). We must remember that the Democratic Party won the popular vote in the last three, and in four of the last five, presidential elections.  

Third, in the seven swing states won by Trump, he received a majority of the votes in only two: Iowa (51.%) and Ohio (51.8%). And all this with a Democratic candidate who carried some significant baggage and did not carry it very well.

The electoral future can be bright. In seeking to ameliorate -- or at least call to the nation's attention -- the damage that Trump and the Congressional Republicans will cause, activists most focus principally on strategies for building on this American majority so that the Electoral College and the gerrymandered Congress can return to their normal states of reflecting majority will. This must include a coherent message that will convince the 5.4% of the electorate who could not abide Trump, but could not accept Clinton, that the 2020 candidate is worthy of full trust. And this coherent message should not back away from the Democratic Party Platform.  

Most importantly, the Democratic message must include a forceful plan, forcefully presented, to help those left behind by technological change -- the very voters in Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Iowa who voted for Obama, but did not trust Clinton.

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